The resistance axis: scored points in Iraq and Lebanon….and won by a knockout in the nuclear file
The Americans launched their war against the resistance axis in three main arenas; Iran, Lebanon, and Iraq. While their project in Syria, Palestine, and Yemen was unable to be launched where the paths are drawn by the forces and the governments of the resistance axis, and where Washington’s allies are confused and incapable. The occupation entity which is the strongest ally of Washington is stuck in an electoral and governmental political maze and a repeated military disability to take the initiative in Palestine against the resistance. In Yemen, the initiative is in the hands of Ansar Allah, and the Saudi and Emirati security is under the mercy of their strikes as in Maareb where they suffered from painful human losses in a way that recalled the scene of striking Aramco. In Syria, everything in politics and fields is under accelerating shifts in favor of the Syrian county, as the Turkish positioning, the Kurdish movement, the battles of Idlib, the path of the constitutional committee, and the Syrian-Russian relationship. Despite the difficult economic situation, Syria is moving quickly to solve its problems and to establish partnerships that allow expanding the range of relief and the capabilities of its people to withstand.
The pressures on the Iranian, Iraqi, and Lebanese arenas that started by Washington through the stifling financial siege and the bet on the demonstrations and the ability to employ them in cooperation with local allies who take their orders in favor of private interests that meet the American goals have been culminated with the assassination of the two commanders QassemSoleimani and Abu Mahdi Al Muhandis, thus they led for the start of the most sever and harshest path of confrontation. The first fall of the American bet in Iraq was through the rise of a wide solidarity with the resistance forces that overwhelms the protests on which Washington bet. It formed the most prominent transformation through making the Iraqi arena embraces the status of the resistance forces by linking the ousting of the Americans from Iraq with a new premiership on the basis of an alliance with Al SayyedMuqtada Al-Sadr. It is an alliance that is close to be interpreted with the approach of nominating a prime minister in understanding with Al Sayyed Al-Sadr and his important street and the approach of the date of the march of millions which opposes the American presence and which was called by Al Sayyed Al-Sadr and supported by the resistance forces. No one can ignore the magnitude of the American bet not only on neutralizing the name of Al Sayyed Al Sadr in the confrontation, but on winning the confrontation of ousting Iran from Iraq rather than America.
In Lebanon, after the American project gambled on besieging the resistance forces in two issues; the movement and the resignation of the Prime Minister Saad Al-Hariri, the process of nominating a non- sectarian prime minister who is characterized with solidity and stability succeeded, he is characterized with a biography that his opponents could not find any gap in it concerning his dealing with the public money during his occupation the vacancy of the minister of education. After the bet on the contradiction of interests, importance, and balances within the resistance axis to enhance difficulties against the formation of the government and the sectarian pressures to oblige the designated president to retreat and apologize, the parliamentary majority have succeeded in forming a government of technocrats whose its ministers have good biography despite the rumors that they are advisers, because naturally the technocrats in any political government must be advisers and become ministers. Therefore, with the announcement of the new government a new page in the political life and the dealing with crises has been opened. Opening the file of corruption will have a sufficient role in achieving a balance of deterrence to protect the government, because as agreed this file will not be politicized and will not left closed and all those involved will be questioned judicially and under law after lifting immunities.
After the formation of the government there will be no escalation in the Gulf dealing with the Iraqi and the Lebanese arenas, because the Gulf governments fear the Qatari financial openness and the Turkish political one under the coordination with Moscow and Tehran. The positions in the Gulf capitals talk about not repeating the isolation which they paid its cost highly in Syria due to stubbornness and lost bets. The European positions do not imply what is rumored about financial escalation against the government, on the contrary the indicators are opposite especially because Europe and the Gulf are trying to understand the Iranian step which is being prepared at the nuclear level after the announcement of the intention to get out of the IAEA treaty to stop the nuclear proliferation, not only abolishing the nuclear agreement. Therefore, unless urgent well studied step in Europe and Gulf under implicit cover from Washington, many capitals in Europe and the Gulf will talk about an upcoming catastrophe that cannot be ignored even if Iran does not retreat from its decision of not producing a nuclear weapon, because it is enough for Iran to reach the first step technically to have this bomb. This will be a knockoutthat will take Iran to totally another place. So, the Europeans and the Gulf people have to know how to deal with it, since America which is preoccupied with elections and their calculations will surprise them with a decision of camouflaged withdrawal under the title of the declaration of victory on terrorism and the end of the war on ISIS.
Translated by LinaShehadeh,